Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.193881 1.416910 1.650512 1.911839 2.194513 2.489672 2.819814
2025-01-05 0.863104 1.171224 1.515738 1.922440 2.383069 2.883033 3.461449
2025-01-12 0.661334 1.001363 1.401346 1.892019 2.465055 3.102385 3.854819
2025-01-19 0.571679 0.948249 1.409517 1.991870 2.687002 3.473180 4.413956
2025-01-26 0.508813 0.915738 1.431924 2.099153 2.909477 3.837801 4.960012
2025-02-02 0.463466 0.898506 1.467640 2.218097 3.142482 4.212448 5.516267
2025-02-09 0.432960 0.896309 1.518729 2.353050 3.392514 4.605539 6.092944
2025-02-16 0.386687 0.864842 1.526883 2.430541 3.570293 4.911891 6.567743
2025-02-23 0.329320 0.808790 1.496561 2.454612 3.679281 5.134271 6.942562
2025-03-02 0.250330 0.706167 1.393549 2.377481 3.657312 5.195869 7.124683
2025-03-09 0.181206 0.606098 1.284891 2.285557 3.610973 5.223553 7.262794
2025-03-16 0.135180 0.536965 1.214713 2.240097 3.619352 5.314251 7.472880
2025-03-23 0.108445 0.502731 1.198962 2.274226 3.737858 5.550064 7.870393
2025-03-30 0.081547 0.460651 1.167585 2.284985 3.825892 5.749348 8.226111
2025-04-06 0.054159 0.405560 1.108751 2.251809 3.852278 5.868828 8.482213
2025-04-13 0.048739 0.408650 1.147924 2.361509 4.069622 6.228610 9.032634
2025-04-20 0.044812 0.415084 1.192579 2.479269 4.297982 6.602646 9.601073
2025-04-27 0.042539 0.426223 1.245490 2.609500 4.543562 6.999002 10.197662
2025-05-04 0.042139 0.443611 1.309710 2.756950 4.812896 7.426014 10.832670
2025-05-11 0.035897 0.438234 1.332220 2.841467 4.996822 7.744874 11.335013
2025-05-18 0.025912 0.413206 1.316919 2.867701 5.100712 7.961635 11.711435
2025-05-25 0.011859 0.353847 1.231760 2.783607 5.050949 7.980530 11.841979
2025-06-01 0.003173 0.294994 1.139475 2.683250 4.974975 7.963007 11.925024